performance-metrics

Performance Metrics

Core Concepts

Sharpe Ratio

The most widely used risk-adjusted performance measure. It divides excess return (over the risk-free rate) by total volatility.

SR = (R_p - R_f) / sigma_p

• R_p: annualized portfolio return
• R_f: annualized risk-free rate
• sigma_p: annualized portfolio volatility (standard deviation of returns)

A higher Sharpe ratio indicates more return per unit of total risk. Typical benchmarks: SR < 0.5 is poor, 0.5-1.0 is acceptable, > 1.0 is strong, > 2.0 is exceptional.

Annualization: If computed from monthly data, SRannual = SRmonthly * sqrt(12).

Sortino Ratio

Replaces total volatility with downside deviation, penalizing only harmful volatility (returns below a Minimum Acceptable Return).

Sortino = (R_p - R_f) / sigma_downside

where sigmadownside = sqrt((1/n) * sum(min(Ri - MAR, 0)^2)).

Common MAR choices: 0%, risk-free rate, or a target return. Always state which MAR is used, and use the same reference point in the numerator as in the downside deviation: if the MAR is not the risk-free rate, the numerator should be (Rp - MAR), not (Rp - R_f). Mixing reference points makes the ratio internally inconsistent.

Information Ratio

Measures active return (alpha) per unit of active risk (tracking error) relative to a benchmark.

IR = (R_p - R_b) / TE

where TE = std(Rp - Rb) * sqrt(N).

An IR above 0.5 is generally considered good; above 1.0 is exceptional and difficult to sustain.

Treynor Ratio

Measures excess return per unit of systematic risk (beta) rather than total risk.

Treynor = (R_p - R_f) / beta_p

Useful for evaluating diversified portfolios where idiosyncratic risk has been diversified away. For undiversified holdings, the Sharpe ratio is more appropriate.

Calmar Ratio

Relates annualized return to the worst peak-to-trough drawdown.

Calmar = CAGR / |MaxDrawdown|

A Calmar ratio above 1.0 means the annualized return exceeds the maximum drawdown. This ratio is popular among CTAs and hedge fund investors. Typically computed over a 3-year window.

Omega Ratio

A gain-loss ratio that considers the entire return distribution above and below a threshold tau.

Omega(tau) = integral from tau to +inf of [1 - F(r)] dr
             / integral from -inf to tau of F(r) dr

where F(r) is the cumulative distribution function of returns.

In practice, this is computed as:

Omega(tau) = sum(max(R_i - tau, 0)) / sum(max(tau - R_i, 0))

Omega > 1 means expected gains above tau exceed expected losses below tau. Unlike Sharpe, Omega captures the full shape of the distribution (skewness, kurtosis).

Upside and Downside Capture Ratios

Measure how the portfolio participates in benchmark up and down markets.

Up Capture   = R_p(in up months) / R_b(in up months) * 100
Down Capture = R_p(in down months) / R_b(in down months) * 100
Capture Ratio = Up Capture / Down Capture

Ideal profile: Up Capture > 100% and Down Capture < 100%, yielding a Capture Ratio > 1. "Up months" and "down months" are defined by the benchmark return being positive or negative, respectively.

M-Squared (Modigliani-Modigliani)

Expresses risk-adjusted return in the same units as return, by leveraging or deleveraging the portfolio to match benchmark volatility.

M^2 = R_f + SR_p * sigma_b
    = R_f + ((R_p - R_f) / sigma_p) * sigma_b

Interpretation: "If this portfolio were scaled to have the same volatility as the benchmark, it would have returned M-squared." This makes it directly comparable to benchmark returns.

Key Formulas

Worked Examples

Example 1: Sharpe Ratio Calculation

Given: A fund returned 12% annualized, the risk-free rate is 4%, and the fund's annualized volatility is 15%.

Calculate: Sharpe Ratio.

Solution:

SR = (0.12 - 0.04) / 0.15
   = 0.08 / 0.15
   = 0.533

The fund earned 0.533 units of excess return per unit of risk. This is in the "acceptable" range but below 1.0.

Example 2: Comparing Funds with Sharpe and Sortino

Given:

• Fund A: Sharpe = 0.8, Sortino = 1.2
• Fund B: Sharpe = 0.7, Sortino = 1.5

Calculate: Which fund is better for a downside-averse investor?

Solution:

Fund A has a higher Sharpe ratio (0.8 vs 0.7), indicating better total-risk-adjusted performance. However, Fund B has a notably higher Sortino ratio (1.5 vs 1.2), meaning it delivers significantly more return per unit of downside risk.

The divergence implies Fund B's volatility is more skewed to the upside -- its total volatility includes more "good" volatility (gains), while its downside volatility is relatively contained.

For a downside-averse investor, Fund B is preferable because the Sortino ratio better captures the risk they care about (losses), and Fund B's superior Sortino indicates better downside risk management.

Example 3: Information Ratio

Given: A portfolio returned 10% annualized, its benchmark returned 8%, and the tracking error is 4%.

Calculate: Information Ratio.

Solution:

IR = (0.10 - 0.08) / 0.04
   = 0.02 / 0.04
   = 0.50

The manager generated 0.50 units of active return per unit of active risk. This is generally considered a good IR, suggesting consistent alpha generation relative to benchmark deviations.

Common Pitfalls

• Annualizing Sharpe incorrectly: The Sharpe ratio scales by sqrt(N) where N is the number of periods per year. SRannual = SRmonthly sqrt(12), not 12. The excess return and volatility must be in consistent units before dividing.
• Using wrong risk-free rate frequency: If computing monthly Sharpe, use the monthly risk-free rate (annual rate / 12), not the annual rate directly.
• Sortino MAR ambiguity: The Sortino ratio result changes significantly depending on whether MAR = 0, MAR = risk-free rate, or MAR = some target return. Always state the MAR assumption explicitly.
• Small sample sizes making ratios unreliable: Ratios computed from fewer than 36 monthly observations are statistically unreliable. A Sharpe ratio from 12 months of data has a standard error of approximately sqrt((1 + SR^2/2) / 12), which is very wide.
• Comparing Sharpe ratios across different time periods: A Sharpe of 1.0 in a low-vol environment is not the same as 1.0 in a high-vol environment. Performance ratios are period-specific and not directly comparable across different market regimes.

Cross-References

• historical-risk (wealth-management plugin): Provides the risk measures (volatility, drawdown, downside deviation, tracking error) used as denominators in these performance ratios.
• performance-reporting (wealth-management plugin) and return-calculations (core plugin): For TWR/MWR calculation methodology and reporting presentation, see performance-reporting and core/return-calculations.
• forward-risk (wealth-management plugin): Forward-looking risk measures (VaR, CVaR) complement retrospective performance assessment by estimating future potential losses.
• volatility-modeling (wealth-management plugin): Volatility forecasts from GARCH or EWMA can be used to compute forward-looking or conditional Sharpe ratios.
• factor-investing (wealth-management plugin): Factor regressions decompose the alpha behind these ratios; the closet-index screen uses tracking error and a breakeven Information Ratio

Running the script

Run with uv run scripts/performance_metrics.py (the PEP 723 header resolves numpy automatically) or with python3 scripts/performance_metrics.py after pip install numpy scipy. A bare run prints a full scorecard (Sharpe, Sortino, Information Ratio, Calmar, Treynor, Omega, capture ratios, batting average, win/loss) on seeded synthetic portfolio and benchmark data. Use --verify to assert outputs match this skill's worked examples and the demo's expected values (exit code 0 on PASS) and --help for an overview of the class. The file is primarily meant to be imported as a module (e.g., from performance_metrics import PerformanceScorecard).