使い方
- インストールコマンドをコピーし、自分の環境へ導入する前にソースを確認します。
- 必要なツール、認証情報、対応環境を原文で確認します。
- 入力と成果物を指定し、出力を資料と照合します。
npx skills add https://github.com/wshobson/agents --skill market-sizing-analysis開始前の確認
- 導入にはモデル契約、API枠、ファイルへのアクセス許可は含まれません。
- スター数や導入数は活動の指標であり、独立した品質・安全性試験ではありません。
見出し、例、コード、表、リンク、参照画像を含む原文を表示しています。
Market Sizing Analysis
Comprehensive market sizing methodologies for calculating Total Addressable Market (TAM), Serviceable Available Market (SAM), and Serviceable Obtainable Market (SOM) for startup opportunities.
Overview
Market sizing provides the foundation for startup strategy, fundraising, and business planning. Calculate market opportunity using three complementary methodologies: top-down (industry reports), bottom-up (customer segment calculations), and value theory (willingness to pay).
Core Concepts
The Three-Tier Market Framework
TAM (Total Addressable Market)
- Total revenue opportunity if achieving 100% market share
- Defines the universe of potential customers
- Used for long-term vision and market validation
- Example: All email marketing software revenue globally
SAM (Serviceable Available Market)
- Portion of TAM targetable with current product/service
- Accounts for geographic, segment, or capability constraints
- Represents realistic addressable opportunity
- Example: AI-powered email marketing for e-commerce in North America
SOM (Serviceable Obtainable Market)
- Realistic market share achievable in 3-5 years
- Accounts for competition, resources, and market dynamics
- Used for financial projections and fundraising
- Example: 2-5% of SAM based on competitive landscape
When to Use Each Methodology
Top-Down Analysis
- Use when established market research exists
- Best for mature, well-defined markets
- Validates market existence and growth
- Starts with industry reports and narrows down
Bottom-Up Analysis
- Use when targeting specific customer segments
- Best for new or niche markets
- Most credible for investors
- Builds from customer data and pricing
Value Theory
- Use when creating new market categories
- Best for disruptive innovations
- Estimates based on value creation
- Calculates willingness to pay for problem solution
Detailed patterns and worked examples
Detailed pattern documentation lives in references/details.md. Read that file when the navigation tier above is insufficient.
