yogsoth-ai/de-anthropocentric-research-engine

design-discriminating-prediction

Construct a prediction that yields different outcomes under competing hypotheses.

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使用方法

  1. 复制安装命令,在自己的智能体环境安装前先检查源码包。
  2. 从原始文档核对所需工具、凭据和支持的宿主。
  3. 说明输入材料与期望交付物,并对照来源检查输出。
npx skills add https://github.com/yogsoth-ai/de-anthropocentric-research-engine --skill design-discriminating-prediction

开始前需了解

  • 安装不包含模型订阅、API 额度或访问文件的权限。
  • 仓库星数和安装量反映活跃情况,不等于独立质量或安全测试。
仓库原始内容

按源仓库内容呈现,保留标题、案例、代码、表格、链接以及原文引用的演示图片。

design-discriminating-prediction

Purpose

Design an observation or test whose outcomes distinguish among competing hypotheses.

Input contract

yaml
required: [hypotheses, current_evidence, target_comparison]
optional: [constraints, measurable_variables, candidate_interventions]
constraints: [predictions must differ on an observable outcome]

Procedure

  1. Identify the unresolved contrast between hypotheses.
  2. Derive each hypothesis's prediction under candidate conditions.
  3. Select the condition maximizing interpretable separation within constraints.
  4. Specify outcome, measurement, and interpretation for each possible result.

Output contract

yaml
produces: [discriminating_test, prediction_table, measurement_plan, interpretation_rules]
delta_fields: [hypothesis_updates, decisions, uncertainties, recommended_jumps]

Quality gates

  • Predictions differ before the test is selected.
  • Confounds and ambiguous outcomes are recorded.

Failure and counterexamples

Do not call a test discriminating when all hypotheses predict the same result or when the measurement cannot separate them.

Provenance map

  • resolved: design-discriminating-prediction
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